Newcastle, Eddie Howe and a supposed preference for Premier League transfers

There is a common trait connecting the majority of Newcastle United’s (known) transfer targets.

Some supporters are perplexed — given the lack of a senior signing and Eddie Howe’s end-of-season warning that Newcastle needed to act “very quickly” — by what is perceived to be the head coach’s unbending desire to acquire Premier League-based players. The inference is that Howe has an apparent reluctance to bring in foreign imports this summer.

Take @alanofthenorth on Bluesky: “Why is a club that successfully signed (Alexander) Isak, (Bruno) Guimaraes and (Sandro) Tonali now so dead-set on PL (Premier League) additions, only to then complain when these are too expensive and we don’t sign anybody.”

The last point refers to Newcastle’s frustration at what they deem to be excessive early benchmarking of targets. They expect prices to come down, but the riposte of some frustrated supporters is that, if the fees are too high domestically, look to the Continent.

It appears a fair response, given Marc Guehi (Crystal Palace), Joao Pedro (Brighton), James Trafford (Burnley), Antoine Semenyo (Bournemouth), Bryan Mbeumo (Brentford) and Anthony Elanga (Nottingham Forest) play in England and Newcastle have yet to agree a fee — or make a bid for any, partly due to present asking prices.

But those with knowledge of Newcastle’s transfer blueprint contest the hypothesis that Howe has a preoccupation with Premier League players, even if the likelihood is that the bulk of summer recruits will come from domestic clubs.


Palace and England centre-back Guehi has long been a Newcastle target (Julian Finney/Getty Images)

For Howe, they stress, it is about the right player at the right price.

Four of Howe’s six most-expensive signings came from Europe for a combined £183million ($248m), including the top two: Isak (a club-record £60m) and Tonali (£55m). Alongside Guimaraes and Sven Botman, they have justified the significant investment.

Newcastle’s post-takeover signings

Player Signed from Cost

Real Sociedad

£60m

AC Milan

£55m

Everton

£40m

Leicester City

£38m

Lyon

£38m

Lille

£32m

Southampton

£31m

Chelsea

£28m

Burnley

£25m

Nottingham Forest

£21m

Aston Villa

£15m

Brighton & Hove Albion

£13m

Atletico Madrid

£12m

Burnley

£11m

Sheffield United

£10m

Although only five of the 15 players signed for a fee have been acquired from abroad, which drops to four when already-Premier League-experienced Kieran Trippier is discounted, that quartet accounts for almost 45 per cent of Newcastle’s post-takeover expenditure (once goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos’ £20million paper value is excluded).

When it comes to this summer, the word “known” is important in the opening line. Newcastle’s desired list extends beyond those in the public domain and the insistence is that Howe has been actively discussing overseas-based players as recently as the past few days, including centre-backs and attackers (while Lille goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier is a potential alternative to Trafford).


Chevalier, the Lille goalkeeper, is admired (Jean-Francois Monier/AFP via Getty Images)

Their identities remain concealed, much to the delight of some insiders, given Newcastle swooped and successfully signed Tonali and Isak with little media preamble.

In three of the first four post-takeover windows — which preceded the three successive trading periods in which Newcastle were unable to make first-XI signings due to the Premier League’s profit and sustainability rules (PSR) — at least one overseas acquisition was made: Guimaraes in January 2022; Isak and Botman in that summer; Tonali a year later.

Regardless, the premise put forward by some Newcastle fans is not inaccurate. Most, if not even possibly all, of Newcastle’s summer additions may still arrive from English clubs.

But, again, the thesis that Newcastle will do so because Howe has an unhealthy predilection for those who have played in England would be strongly disputed by the head coach. The claim irks him because it is, he believes, built on faulty assumptions.

When faced with a recruitment call which directly pits a Premier League-experienced player against someone who has never played in England’s top flight, the former often wins out in Howe’s mind. The Premier League is unique, and those who have shown they can perform in the division carry less risk.

Yet that is merely one factor in Howe’s decision-making. When Guimaraes, Botman, Isak and Tonali were proposed, Premier League-hardened alternatives were also floated — some of which would have been cheaper — but Howe pushed for those four.


Guimaraes, the Brazilian midfielder, signed from Lyon in France (Stu Forster/Getty Images)

They were deemed to be the right players at the right price.

For Isak, Newcastle spent more than they intended to, at Howe’s behest. With Tonali, a senior source, speaking on condition of anonymity to protect relationships, stressed in 2023 that the “stars had aligned”, with Milan’s need to sell and Newcastle’s opportunism combining to secure what now appears a knockdown price (even considering his 10-month betting suspension).

In each case, Newcastle took a calculated gamble. Every transfer carries uncertainty, but there is an increased risk when players move country, especially when they have never played in the Premier League before.

Some in recruitment circles also dispute the theory that signing European players is significantly cheaper than signing Premier League players in this market.

In some circumstances, that is true. Manchester City spending £46.3million on Tijjani Reijnders and £34m on Rayan Cherki looks excellent business. But value is not as easily discoverable as it once was.

Florian Wirtz is an outstanding talent, but £116million would represent a British-record fee should he move to Liverpool from Bayer Leverkusen as expected, while Olympiacos have got £29.6m from Brighton for Charalampos Kostoulas, who is highly rated but is 18 and has only made 35 senior appearances. Such figures suggest European clubs are standing firmer against the richest league.

Those deals may represent good value in time, but Newcastle’s PSR constraints mean they have to limit risk wherever possible.

Take Hugo Ekitike, a player Newcastle tried to sign in January 2022. Eintracht Frankfurt are reportedly holding out for €100million (£85m) for him this summer. Newcastle still admire Ekitike, yet do not feel they can countenance such a fee for an admittedly high-quality player, but one who has yet to perform in England.

Joao Pedro may be a less-sexy name — and may still prove expensive — but the suspicion is he would cost less than Ekitike, even if no asking price has been set by Brighton.

Newcastle have found wages a stumbling block. They admire players at Champions League clubs across Europe, but their salaries would place them among (or above) Newcastle’s highest earners.

It is about balance. Most clubs blend domestic signings with imports. Manchester City (Rayan Ait-Nouri) and Liverpool (reportedly pursuing Milos Kerkez) are shopping closer to home, too.

Howe’s Newcastle have been slanted more towards domestic than overseas acquisitions. Or have Newcastle been more risk-averse than others? That is the feeling of some who have worked with Howe, and may have contributed to last year’s executive-level restructure and appointment of Paul Mitchell as sporting director — but their success rate is high.

Intra-Premier League acquisitions have often, at the time, been viewed with a certain snootiness. Anthony Gordon (Everton), Tino Livramento (Southampton), Lewis Hall (Chelsea), Dan Burn (Brighton) and Nick Pope (Burnley) were received as underwhelming signings but have blossomed.

The expectation is that such a trend will continue. With Newcastle having failed to strengthen the starting line-up for two years, more than ever do they require players who have the best-possible chance of making an immediate difference.

Much of Newcastle’s incoming business probably will involve Premier League-experienced players, but that is not the same as Howe saying no to overseas imports.

He wants quality and he wants to mitigate risk, so that requires a mixture of foreign and domestic acquisitions. Just as has been the case throughout his tenure.

(Top photo by Oli Scarff/AFP via Getty Images)

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