Goldman’s Oppenheimer Dismisses Bubble Fears in US Tech Stocks

It’s too early to be worried about a bubble in high-flying US technology stocks.

Most Read from Bloomberg

That’s the view of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategist Peter Oppenheimer, who said the record-breaking rally in tech heavyweights has been accompanied by robust earnings growth. In past bubbles, the market was driven higher mainly by speculation.

“Valuations of the technology sector are becoming stretched but not yet at levels consistent with historical bubbles,” Oppenheimer and his team wrote in a note.

Still, the strategist reiterated his recommendation that investors seek diversification to avoid risks around a narrow US stock rally and higher competition in the artificial intelligence space.

A handful of tech giants including Nvidia Corp., Broadcom Inc. and Microsoft Corp. have driven US stocks to record highs as investors bet on sustained earnings growth and improved productivity from AI.

While recent positioning metrics from banks such as Goldman and Barclays Plc suggest investors remain bullish about the outlook for further equity gains, some market participants are turning cautious about the payoff from hefty spending on AI.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index slipped on Tuesday after a report that the profit margin for Oracle Corp.’s cloud computing business is lower than many have been estimating. Meanwhile, data compiled by Bloomberg show mentions of “tech” and “bubble” in news stories have jumped in recent weeks.

Valuations are also on the rise. The Nasdaq 100 trades at 28 times forward earnings, compared with a 10-year average of 23. The All-Country World Index ex-US carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.

Goldman’s Oppenheimer said bubbles tend to develop when the average value of companies soars beyond implied future cash flows. This time around, he said, the best-performing tech stocks have “unusually strong balance sheets.”

Moreover, a rise in valuations across equity and credit markets means “this is less about a bubble in technology and more about the general conditions of low interest rates, high global saving and an extended economic cycle,” he wrote.

“This does leave them vulnerable to a correction if confidence in growth fades, but this is less likely to be driven solely by a bubble bursting in the technology space,” Oppenheimer said.

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

None of the AI companies have produced the

Why this analyst says the AI bubble is 17 times bigger than the dot-com bust

A version of this story will appear in CNN Business’ Nightcap newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here. New York  —  At this point, even the concept of an “AI bubble” seems to be a bubble. (In fact, Deutsche Bank analysts said last month that the “AI bubble” bubble has

EUR/USD Weekly Technical Forecast

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Euro Stabilizes Amid Easing Politics, Weaker Dollar

The Euro steadies amid lower US yields and easing French political instability, but upside remains limited due to geopolitical risks. Any renewed geopolitical tensions, like the US-China trade frictions, could support the dollar and weigh on the euro. Traders look ahead to the Consumer Price Index and jobless claims for clear policy direction.  The EUR/USD

Gold Weekly Technical Forecast

Gold Weekly Forecast: Dovish Fed, Geopolitics Keep Gold Underpinned

Rising Fed cut bets and easing US yields weaken the dollar, boosting gold’s safe-haven demand. Prolonged geopolitical uncertainties revive gold’s safe-haven appeal against the ongoing economic and political volatility.  Traders look ahead to the Consumer Price Index and jobless claims for further policy and economic cues.  The gold weekly forecast shows a sharp rally to

Artist rendering of an AI chip.

Where Will Nvidia Stock Be in 2 Years?

Nvidia’s stock still has strong upside from here. Nvidia (NVDA 0.86%) has grown to become the largest company in the world, but the question on many investors’ minds is if the company has more upside ahead in the coming years. The answer looks to be yes. Powering the AI infrastructure ecosystem Nvidia is much more

Cboe Japan corporate webpage to be decommissioned effective November 2025

Cboe Japan corporate webpage to be decommissioned effective November 2025

Cboe News/ Exchanges News Maria Nikolova October 18, 2025 As part of the wind-down of Cboe Japan’s equities business, Cboe has announced that the Cboe Japan corporate webpage will be permanently decommissioned effective November 2025. Key Details: Final Updates: All updates to the corporate webpage, including Market Notices and PTS Margin Trading publications, will cease

The State of the Markets (October 2025)

The State of the Markets (October 2025)

View the video of this post here. Over the last 30 years, the purchasing power of the US Consumer Dollar has been cut in half due to inflation. At the same time, the S&P 500 has gained 888% (8% per year) AFTER adjusting for inflation. Why you need to invest, in one chart… At Creative Planning,