China spectacle shows dangers of Trump trade policy

Anthony ZurcherNorth America correspondent

Getty Images Military vehicle have soldiers on them and red flags on topGetty Images

Chinese soldiers take part the ‘Victory Day’ parade in Beijing

The military might of the People’s Republic of China was on full display in a parade marking the 80th anniversary of the end of World War Two on Wednesday.

Thousands of miles away, at the White House in Washington DC, Donald Trump was paying attention.

“They were hoping I was watching, and I was watching,” he said.

The American president didn’t detail his thoughts about the massive celebration sprawled across Tiananmen Square, except that it was “very, very impressive”. The message from China – to Trump and to the world – however, seems fairly clear.

There is a new and growing centre of power in the world and a new alternative to the American-backed order of the past century.

Trump’s remarks during a meeting in the Oval Office with Polish President Karol Nawrocki, also on Wednesday, shed little light on the matter.

They were the culmination of a typically circuitous series of reflections by the American president on the happenings in China over the past several days. It was a mix of ambivalence, grievance and concern.

Watch: Key moments from China’s big show of strength

During a Tuesday podcast interview, Trump was nonchalant about the parade, saying he was “not concerned” about the Chinese show of force in front of Putin, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and more than two dozen other heads of state.

By Tuesday night, however, he was grousing on his Truth Social website that China wasn’t giving credit to the US for its support in World War Two.

“Please give my warmest regards to Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un, as you conspire against the United States of America,” he wrote.

Conspiracies aside, Trump has a soft spot for parades and demonstrations of military might. He welcomed Putin to Alaska last month with a stealth bomber flyover and a red carpet lined with US military jets. He has fond memories of attending France’s Bastille Day celebrations during his first presidential term. And he hosted his own military parade to celebrate the US Army’s 250th birthday in Washington two months ago.

Unlike Beijing’s sleek display of high-tech armaments and precision marching masses, Trump’s parade was a low-key homage to America’s military history, as World War Two tanks and revolutionary-era soldiers walked casually down Constitution Avenue near the White House.

It was at its heart a nostalgic affair, befitting Trump’s backwards-looking “Make America Great Again” slogan and his economic policy grounded in 19th century mercantilism – a time when, Trump has often insisted, America was at its greatest.

Watch: Soldiers, tanks and fireworks – How Trump’s military parade unfolded in June

Of course, China’s parade – while dripping with futuristic weaponry – offered some historical narrative, as well – an attempt by the communist government to lay claim to a larger role in defeating fascism and imperialism in World War Two. If that conflict launched the so-called “American century”, Beijing may be hoping a newfound respect for its role could smooth the transition to a Chinese-crafted future.

“It’s the first step in a concerted effort to rewrite the rules of the road,” said Richard Wilkie, secretary of veteran’s affairs during Trump’s first presidential term. “And you do that first by rewriting history.”

He added that Chinese nationalists and US forces had much more to do with Japan’s Asian defeat than the communist army.

The parade wasn’t the only image coming out China this week that American policymakers intent on maintaining a US-led international order might find concerning, however.

On Monday, Xi and Putin huddled with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at an economic summit in Tianjin – an indication that frosty relations between China and India may be thawing in large part because of the heat generated by Trump’s tariff policies, which have hit the two nations particularly hard.

Donald Trump’s “America first” outlook on global trade has scrambled the world’s economic and political alignments, and the apparent newfound rapport the leaders of China, Russia and India provided a powerful illustration of how some of the biggest pieces in the geopolitical puzzle could be coming together in challenging, but not entirely unpredictable, ways.

Trump, of course, views tariffs as integral to his plan to protect American industry and generate new revenue for the federal government. If there is a diplomatic price, it appears to be one he is – for the moment – willing to pay.

“The Koreans, the Japanese, the Philippines, the Vietnamese know that the real threat is not any hiccups in a trade partnership with the United States,” Wilkie, who is co-chair of American Security at Trump-aligned America First Foreign Policy Institute, said. “The threat is growing Chinese military power.”

Reuters Chinese President Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Russian President Vladimir Putin speak with Xi holding Modi's handReuters

Putin, Modi and Xi appeared friendly as they met at an economic summit in Tianjin

Trump also has been ambivalent about conflicts and concerns far from US soil, instead focusing on a “sphere of influence” that includes a keen interest America’s immediate geographic neighbourhood – Greenland, Panama and Canada, among them.

The danger for Trump, however, is that his sweeping trade actions may end up being all risk and no reward. There are growing indications that newly constructed America-centric trade regime could be dismantled in days ahead by the US judiciary.

On Friday, an appellate court ruled that many of his tariffs were based on a faulty interpretation of federal law. Trump has promised he will turn to the US Supreme Court for a reversal, but while the conservative justices who dominate the chamber frequently rule in Trump’s favour, they also have taken a dim view of presidents who enact grand new policies without the explicit permission of Congress. There’s no guarantee that the court will back Trump’s generous interpretation of presidential power.

When it comes to trade, Trump has marched to his own beat – taking America on a dramatic new course and creating new international bedfellows in a matter of months.

It’s an ambitious strategy that Trump has promised will lead to a second American golden age. But the dangers, whether on the parade grounds of Tiananmen square or in US courtrooms, are very real.

​​A thin, grey banner promoting the US Politics Unspun newsletter. On the right, there is an image of North America correspondent Anthony Zurcher, wearing a blue suit and shirt and grey tie. Behind him is a visualisation of the Capitol Building on vertical red, grey and blue stripes. The banner reads: "The newsletter that cuts through the noise.”

Follow the twists and turns of Trump’s second term with North America correspondent Anthony Zurcher’s weekly US Politics Unspun newsletter. Readers in the UK can sign up here. Those outside the UK can sign up here.

Source link

Visited 1 times, 1 visit(s) today

Related Article

Truth needed for the next generation in China

Truth needed for the next generation in China

China (MNN) — Who will win the hearts and minds of Chinese kids? The next generation has become a battleground.  Kurt Rovenstine with Bibles for China explains, “Proselytizing kids in China is against regulations and policies, and it’s pretty closely monitored.”  Whether you’re a Christian or a Chinese Communist Party member, it’s clear why kids

Tencent’s headquarters in Shenzhen. Photo: AFP

Tech war: China advances in AI agentic tools as Tencent, ByteDance weigh in

China is making progress in artificial intelligence “agentic frameworks”, the tools required to make AI agents, as the country’s tech giants begin to take on US players such as AutoGen and OpenAI Swarm. Tencent Holdings was the latest to join the fray after the Shenzhen-based company open-sourced its new Youtu-Agent agentic framework on Tuesday. Developed

Xi Jinping showed off the LY-1 shipborne laser weapon at China's military parade

Laser wars: How China’s newly-revealed weapon that can blind pilots and destroy electronics compares to US and UK’s Star Wars technology

China‘s military parade before the world’s cameras on Wednesday showed off a growing arsenal capable, perhaps, of overturning the West’s long-held grip on international order. But behind the columns of tanks and rows of soldiers marching in perfect unison, a small white box sat atop a transporter, posed the greatest challenge to the status quo.

Isolated leaders attend China's massive military parade

Isolated leaders attend China’s massive military parade

IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Wildfire damaged historic California Gold Rush town 01:05 Luigi Mangione’s likeness used to model shirt on Shein 00:49 Jerusalem protesters demand end to war in Gaza 01:02 Lisbon streetcar crash leaves at least 15 dead 00:37 Now Playing Isolated leaders

Leaders of China, Russia, North Korea appear at military parade

Leaders of China, Russia, North Korea appear at military parade

IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Survivors, Democrats and some Trump allies call for release of all Epstein documents 02:01 Florida announces plans to eliminate vaccine mandates in state 01:39 Kickoff Eve: Preview of the new NFL season kicking off this week in Philadelphia 02:41 At