AeroVironment (AVAV) Secures New Production Agreement For US$1.4 Billion Satellite Program

AeroVironment recently benefited from a new production agreement signed with Mercury Systems, aimed at supporting the U.S. Space Force’s SCAR program. This development coincided with strong quarterly results showing a revenue increase, reflecting positively in a 46% share price rise over the last quarter. The agreement, alongside other client and product-related advancements like the partnership with SNC and the introduction of the Skyfall concept for Mars exploration, bolstered investor confidence. Despite broader market fluctuations impacted by tech stock slumps and Fed-related uncertainties, AVAV’s focused advancements solidified its position for the period.

Every company has risks, and we’ve spotted 4 risks for AeroVironment (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

AVAV Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Aug 2025
AVAV Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Aug 2025

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AeroVironment’s new agreement with Mercury Systems is set to enhance the company’s involvement in the U.S. Space Force’s SCAR program, which could boost both revenue and earnings forecasts by adding crucial contracts and expanding its defense portfolio. This agreement aligns with the company’s ongoing push for innovation in unmanned systems, thereby reinforcing its growth narrative driven by rising global defense spending and the strategic acquisition of companies like BlueHalo.

Over the past five years, AeroVironment’s total shareholder return, including share price and dividends, has soared by 215.66%, indicating robust long-term performance for investors. However, in the past year, the company’s share price performance lagged behind the US Aerospace & Defense industry, which returned 31.7%. This suggests the potential for catching up in the coming periods, especially with recent strategic advancements and market expansions.

The current share price stands at $247.13, showing significant movement toward the analysts’ consensus price target of $280.83. If the company’s projected revenue growth and earnings materialize, the share price could approach the target. However, challenges such as government contract dependencies and potential integration issues from prior acquisitions remain crucial factors to monitor.

Upon reviewing our latest valuation report, AeroVironment’s share price might be too optimistic.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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