ArcelorMittal (AMS:MT) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Explore ArcelorMittal’s Fair Values from the Community and select yours

The market shrugged off ArcelorMittal S.A.’s (AMS:MT) solid earnings report. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTAM:MT Earnings and Revenue History August 10th 2025

For anyone who wants to understand ArcelorMittal’s profit beyond the statutory numbers, it’s important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from US$1.5b worth of unusual items. While it’s always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it’s very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that’s as you’d expect, given these boosts are described as ‘unusual’. ArcelorMittal had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2025. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

As previously mentioned, ArcelorMittal’s large boost from unusual items won’t be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that ArcelorMittal’s statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it’s essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it’s worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we’ve identified 1 warning sign with ArcelorMittal, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Today we’ve zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ArcelorMittal’s profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to ‘follow the money’ and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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